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1. Event Identification In the CREATOR project, 19 hours ago, there was a Smart Trader purchase of $28.83K from 9 smart money sources: • Trading volume: $1.15M • Market cap: $200K • Price increase: +167.42% Main wallets: • solsmart3: Current balance <$0.01, 1 purchase and 1 sale in the last 24 hours, ROI +15.51%, completed liquidation 14 hours ago. • gake: Current balance $2.07K, 1 purchase and 0 sales in the last 24 hours, ROI -59.18%, became a new holder 15 hours ago. • solsmart74: Current balance $0, 2 purchases and 1 sale in the last 24 hours, ROI -18.64%, completed liquidation 18 hours ago. --- 2. Motivation Analysis 1. Short-term arbitrage and quick exit: solsmart3's buy and sell show an attempt to capture short-term fluctuations in CREATOR, successfully exiting with profit. 2. Tentative new entry: gake's single purchase without a sale represents a probing position in the market but is currently showing significant losses. 3. Short-term trading failure: solsmart74's multiple buys and single sell did not yield positive returns, indicating a misjudgment of market trends, resulting in a quick exit. --- 3. Structural Insight • Short-term arbitrage and high-frequency operations: solsmart3's rapid transactions indicate a sensitivity to short-term volatility and successful profit-taking. • New capital probing: gake’s single buy suggests an attempt to position in the market, though performance is currently unsatisfactory. • Liquidation of failed arbitrage: solsmart74’s multiple buys did not capture price increases, leading to a quick exit to avoid further losses. --- 4. Key Variables • Sufficient liquidity: CREATOR's trading volume reached $1.15M, indicating high market activity that supports short-term arbitrage operations. • Performance of new capital layout: If gake can further increase its position, it may provide some rebound opportunities. • Stability of market absorption: solsmart74's exit shows short-term selling pressure, requiring new capital to stabilize prices. --- 5. Trend Prediction 1. Continued volatility expected in the short term: Short-term arbitrage and tentative buying will trigger persistent market fluctuations. 2. Medium-term recovery depends on new capital: If gake can increase its holdings, the market may stabilize and rebound. 3. Exit from arbitrage brings volatility risks: solsmart74's exit may lead to more short-term funds withdrawing concurrently. --- LUMEN Structural Summary Recent trading in the CREATOR project focuses on short-term arbitrage and tentative entries of new funds. solsmart3 successfully captured short-term fluctuations and exited quickly, while solsmart74's multiple probes failed to profit, reflecting caution towards the market. From a LUMEN structural analysis, the recent rise in CREATOR mainly relies on short-term trading, and without more long-term capital entering, future price stability will be tested. Gake's willingness to increase its position will determine the future market absorption and rebound potential.